PierMonkey

Sebastian Inlet Alert Guide

Florida, USA · part of the Sebastian Inlet spot guide

The assigned Fort Pierce buoy (41068) reports wind but no waves, so this is a model-swell alert rather than a buoy-wave trigger — check 41068 for a live offshore-wind reading. The height below is open-ocean; the jetty can bump the face above it.

The forecaster's checklist

  1. 1.Want swell direction from the northeast to east (about 40–90°) for the best wedge feed; a southeast angle is worth checking Monster Hole.
  2. 2.Look for period of 8 seconds or more, ideally 10-plus, so the jetty can organise the peak and the outer bank works.
  3. 3.Score an offshore west, northwest or southwest wind, and light — the Fort Pierce buoy (41068) gives the nearest live wind reading.
  4. 4.Target the incoming-to-mid tide for First Peak and low or low-slack for Monster Hole, minding the strong inlet current.
  5. 5.Weight September to October tropical swell or a winter frontal northeast pulse, and don’t over-forecast the legacy wedge — it is diminished since 2003.

Local winds & tide

Best wind: W–NW–SW offshore — from 225° to 315° (SW–NW).

Tide-sensitive; the takeoff and how the wedge squares up shift with the tide and the strong inlet current, with incoming-to-mid a common favourite for First Peak and low or low-slack for Monster Hole.

Dial it in

The dial-up: alert settings that catch it

When ALL of these line up in the 5-day forecast window, this spot is turning on.

NNNENEENEEESESESSESSSWSWWSWWWNWNWNNWswell window30°→170°best ~55°
Open-ocean swell height
≥ 3 ft
Swell period
≥ 8 s
Swell direction (from)
30°–170° (NNE–S)
Wind direction (from)
225°–315° (SW–NW)
No representative buoy on this coast — read these numbers against the 16-day spot forecast instead.
Researched from published surf journalism, oceanographic references and chart data; figures are approximate and confidence-checked. Updated 2026-07-06.