PierMonkey

Manly Beach Alert Guide

Sydney, NSW, Australia · part of the Manly Beach spot guide

Manly has no NDBC buoy nearby, so this is a model-swell alert read against the regional Sydney waverider. Because there is no headland wrap, the height below reads close to the breaking face — the honest-size reference on this coast.

The forecaster's checklist

  1. 1.Want swell from the northeast through east to south-southeast (about 90–170° at core); east and southeast for size, northeast for punch.
  2. 2.Look for period around 10 seconds or more to organise the banks.
  3. 3.Pick the bank to the swell — Queenscliff biggest and best on south, North Steyne for the best banks (the pipe rip is a paddle aid), Fairy Bower on size.
  4. 4.Score a west-to-northwest offshore at dawn before the northeast sea breeze fills in.
  5. 5.Weigh the rips, crowds and summer bluebottles; March to August is the prime window.

Local winds & tide

Best wind: W–NW offshore — from 225° to 315° (SW–NW).

Microtidal, so tide is not a hard gate; mid tide is generally favoured, with a steep shorebreak at high.

Dial it in

The dial-up: alert settings that catch it

When ALL of these line up in the 5-day forecast window, this spot is turning on.

NNNENEENEEESESESSESSSWSWWSWWWNWNWNNWswell window30°→170°best ~110°
Open-ocean swell height
≥ 3 ft
Swell period
≥ 10 s
Swell direction (from)
30°–170° (NNE–S)
Wind direction (from)
225°–315° (SW–NW)
No representative buoy on this coast — read these numbers against the 16-day spot forecast instead.
Researched from published surf journalism, oceanographic references and chart data; figures are approximate and confidence-checked. Updated 2026-07-06.