PierMonkey

Lakey Peak Alert Guide

Sumbawa, Indonesia · part of the Lakey Peak spot guide

Lakey Peak is forecast-only — no usable buoy within roughly 3,000 km — so this is a model-swell alert, and the height below is an open-ocean reading the reef amplifies on the face.

The forecaster's checklist

  1. 1.Want swell from the south to southwest (about 160–250°), ideally southwest around 210–240°; off-window south loses size and shape.
  2. 2.Prioritise period — 14 seconds and up is what makes the reef jack and barrel; short-period windswell is weak.
  3. 3.Look for open-ocean height around 3 feet to turn it on, 6-foot-plus for solid barrels, 8-foot-plus for maxing and heavy.
  4. 4.Target mid tide for the all-round session — lower for the hollow left (minding the reef), higher for the right; avoid dead low.
  5. 5.Score the dawn: the dry-season east-southeast trades blow straight offshore in the morning before wind fills in by midday.

Local winds & tide

Best wind: SE–E offshore (dry-season trades) — from 90° to 160° (E–SSE).

Tide-sensitive though no tide series is modelled; mid tide is the all-round optimum, the left prefers lower and the right higher, and dead low exposes sharp, shallow coral.

Dial it in

The dial-up: alert settings that catch it

When ALL of these line up in the 5-day forecast window, this spot is turning on.

NNNENEENEEESESESSESSSWSWWSWWWNWNWNNWswell window160°→250°best ~220°
Open-ocean swell height
≥ 3 ft
Swell period
≥ 14 s
Swell direction (from)
160°–250° (SSE–WSW)
Wind direction (from)
90°–160° (E–SSE)
No representative buoy on this coast — read these numbers against the 16-day spot forecast instead.
Researched from published surf journalism, oceanographic references and chart data; figures are approximate and confidence-checked. Updated 2026-07-06.