The Pass (Byron Bay) Alert Guide
NSW, Australia · part of the The Pass (Byron Bay) spot guide
The Pass is forecast-only in our system — the nearest buoy in our set is thousands of kilometres away, with the real ground truth the NSW Byron waverider off the point. The height below is an open-ocean reading, and the wrap makes the face smaller.
The forecaster's checklist
- 1.Read the direction first — east or east-northeast for size, southeast for the softest wrap; anything outside the northeast-to-southeast arc largely misses.
- 2.Want period of at least 10 seconds, ideally 12 to 15, so the swell can wrap; discount short windswell.
- 3.Halve the open-ocean height (more on a southeast swell) for the face estimate.
- 4.Confirm a light southwest-to-west offshore in the morning; a northeast-to-east sea-breeze ruins it, and the cape shelters south and southeast winds.
- 5.Track Coral Sea cyclones from November to May and Tasman southeast lows from May to August, using the NSW Byron waverider for ground truth.
Local winds & tide
Best wind: SW–W offshore (the cape also shelters S–SE winds) — from 180° to 292° (S–WNW).
Works across all tides — the sand configuration matters more than the tide stage. No tide series is modelled.
Dial it in
The dial-up: alert settings that catch it
When ALL of these line up in the 5-day forecast window, this spot is turning on.
- Open-ocean swell height
- ≥ 3.5 ft
- Swell period
- ≥ 10 s
- Swell direction (from)
- 70°–140° (ENE–SE)
- Wind direction (from)
- 180°–292° (S–WNW)
No representative buoy on this coast — read these numbers against the 16-day spot forecast instead.
